One of the most fascinating business phenomena is the
way that powerful market incumbents can be rapidly displaced by new market
entrants.
Take the case of BlackBerry’s demise. Once a market
untouchable, BlackBerry first hit the market in 1998 with a fully operational
QWERTY keyboard. It was a massive success with corporates, primarily because of
its secure networks and ease of use. By 2006 they’d released 15 models, the
latest featuring things like chat networks, cameras and navigation. It
effectively marked the birth of the smartphone. By 2007 they’d doubled their
user base to 10 million and were seen as invincible.
Then Apple decided to launch the iPhone, totally
revolutionary in that it used a touch screen as opposed to a keyboard.
BlackBerry thought nothing of it, contending that no businessperson in their
right mind would go for it. But Apple thought that things would change in terms
of what people wanted to do on their phones. As such, their first model had an
average antenna, a substandard camera and no native apps. Understandably, it
was viewed by BlackBerry as totally substandard.
This is where we begin to see the idea of new market
disruption as put forward by Clay Christensen come into play. According to
Christensen, this is when a substandard product generates a new customer base
and pulls some lower end users away from the incumbent. Sustained innovation
then leads it to dominate that market and draw in the mainstream and upper end.
This is exactly what happened. Because Apple started off with a substandard
product they were able to rapidly innovate. In contrast, BlackBerry became the
late movers and were left scrambling to catch up. They failed to recognise
emerging market trends and nullify the threat of a new market entrant. The
market disintegrated beneath them.
Amazingly, BlackBerry went from being the market
dominator to near bankruptcy, while Apple acquired 205 million buyers within
four years. It was the ultimate proof of Christensen’s assertion that in this
type of scenario, the new entrant will always win.
Author:
Seamus Tardif – Master of Management student
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